Ea Carolina
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 81.3557Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 A NC St ACC ( 8- 4, 83.5) 7-24 906 H Campbell 56- 3 913 A Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 7, 72.8) 38- 0 920 H BYU B12 (11- 2, 92.6) 13-34 925 H Army AME ( 6- 5, 77.9) 28- 6 1009 A Tulane AME (11- 2, 83.7) 19-26 1016 H Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 69.1) 41-27 1101 A Temple AME ( 5- 7, 73.3) 45-14 1108 H Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 54.2) 48-22 1115 H Memphis AME ( 8- 4, 79.9) 31-27 1122 A UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 78.7) 24-58 1129 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 71.7) 42- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 A NC St 7-24 -17 -5 --- -9.20
913 A Coastal Car 38- 0 38 6 +++ 8.14
920 H BYU 13-34 -21 -9 -- -5.42
925 H Army 28- 6 22 6 +++ 7.86
1009 A Tulane 19-26 -7 -5 -1.95
1016 H Tulsa 41-27 14 15 0.00
1101 A Temple 45-14 31 5 +++ 8.63
1108 H Charlotte 48-22 26 30 0.00
1115 H Memphis 31-27 4 4 -0.17
1122 A UTSA 24-58 -34 0 --- -13.98
1129 A Fla Atlantic 42- 3 39 7 +++ 7.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 828 A NC St 7-24 -17 -5 --- -9.20 1122 A UTSA 24-58 -34 0 --- -13.98 920 H BYU 13-34 -21 -9 -- -5.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Coastal Car 38- 0 38 6 +++ 8.14 925 H Army 28- 6 22 6 +++ 7.86 1101 A Temple 45-14 31 5 +++ 8.63 1129 A Fla Atlantic 42- 3 39 7 +++ 7.00 |
Ea Carolina Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| California | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Florida St | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Miami | |
| UNC | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Syracuse | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Va Tech | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Wake Forest | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Army | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Charlotte | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Memphis | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Navy | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| No Texas | No Texas | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | So Florida | |
| Temple | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| UAB | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Cincinnati | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Colorado | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kansas St | |
| Oklahoma St | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Minnesota | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Nebraska | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Rutgers | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| UCLA | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Florida Intl | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Jacksonv. St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Kennesaw St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Liberty | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| La Tech | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Middle Tenn | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| NM St | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| SHouston St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| UTEP | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| We Kentucky | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| UMass | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Akron | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Ball St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Bowl. Green | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Buffalo | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Cen Michigan | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Ea Michigan | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Kent State | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| MiamiOH | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| No Illinois | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Ohio | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Toledo | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| We Michigan | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Air Force | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Boise State | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Colorado St | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fresno St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Hawaii | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Nevada | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| New Mexico | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| San Diego St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| San Jose St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| UNLV | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Utah St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Wyoming | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Oregon St | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Arkansas State | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Coastal Car | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Georgia So | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Georgia St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Marshall | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Old Dominion | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| So Miss | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| So Alabama | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Ea Carolina | |
| Texas State | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Troy | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| La-Monroe | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ea Carolina | |
| Delaware | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Missouri St | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina |
PowerWise = 88
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A NC St ( 8- 4, 83.5) 7-24 -16.42 30.73 2.67 1.10 -7.58
0 A Coastal Car ( 6- 7, 72.8) 38- 0 -27.08 20.07 2.67 1.10 50.17
0 H BYU (11- 2, 92.6) 13-34 -7.29 39.86 -2.67 1.10 -5.49
0 H Army ( 6- 5, 77.9) 28- 6 -22.01 25.14 -2.67 1.10 49.55
0 A Tulane (11- 2, 83.7) 19-26 -16.17 30.98 2.67 1.10 -7.44
0 H Tulsa ( 4- 8, 69.1) 41-27 -30.79 16.36 -2.67 1.10 30.19
0 A Temple ( 5- 7, 73.3) 45-14 -26.59 20.56 2.67 1.10 51.25
0 H Charlotte ( 1-11, 54.2) 48-22 -45.72 1.43 -2.67 1.10 -2.74
0 H Memphis ( 8- 4, 79.9) 31-27 -20.04 27.11 -2.67 1.10 53.90
0 A UTSA ( 7- 5, 78.7) 24-58 -21.20 25.95 2.67 1.10 -10.21
0 A Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 71.7) 42- 3 -28.22 18.93 2.67 1.10 47.67
------
249.26
|
winning pts = 279.9937 losing points = -30.7292
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------